Final Thoughts - Michigan Basketball 2014

As I sit here and write this a full 24 hours after the game, I don’t think I fully comprehend what I witnessed yesterday. And it’s probably more painful to think about the shot now than it was during the actual game. After Michigan scored on its final possession, I was both ecstatic and shocked at the same time, as we had come back to tie the game after seemingly having no chance minutes earlier. I braced myself for any scenario possible, whether it be forcing the game into overtime or losing in regulation. I didn’t expect us to be in this situation. Down 72-65 with just over three minutes left, Kentucky had full control of the game. But like every obstacle Michigan faced throughout the season, they overcame these obstacles and defied the odds. After a wild possession that saw Michigan tip the ball in with 27 seconds left to tie the score at 72, you had the feeling that Michigan might get that crucial stop on the defensive end that had eluded them all day.

This did not happen. Aaron Harrison, a middling, 34% three point shooter, faded away from 25 feet with Caris LeVert directly in his face. This did not matter, as Harrsion buried the shot, reminiscent of Trey Burke against Kansas in last year’s Sweet 16. Nik Stauskas heaved a desperation attempt from half court as time expired, but it barely grazed the backboard. Kentucky players ran across the floor to greet the bench after the clock hit zero, as it had just punched its ticket to Dallas next weekend. Michigan players, from what I could see, looked just as shocked as the Wolverine faithful. You almost got the sense that this magical season wasn’t ready to come to an end.

I said earlier that I thought I had prepared myself for any outcome. As the shot went in for Kentucky, I crumpled to my knees in absolute disbelief. Both my friends and I ask myself sometimes why I care so much about something I can’t control. These are college athletes, kids my age that go through the normal ups and downs that regular college students go through on a daily basis. But college basketball is unlike any sport in the world. College students feel one with the team. We win with the team, and lose with the team. At home games we sit 15 feet from the court, listening to the coaches and players in the heat of the game. We feel included with them, because we can relate to them, and even recognize how hard it is to do what they do. This is what makes cheering for them fun; we understand that they carry a heavy workload as student-athletes, and that they are just normal kids like us. They have to appease an entire fan base of kids and adults alike that are more than willing to dish out criticism without fully understanding all that these student-athletes must deal with athletically and academically. 

I care so much about this team because I miss the camaraderie that sports used to provide me prior to college. My senior baseball season was extremely special, not because of the games we won or lost, but because of the friends I was able to share some incredible experiences with. We had fun, whether it be at practice, during games, or during winter conditioning. When I watched Michigan this year, the team reminded me of my senior year baseball team. You could tell these guys truly cared about each other. They were entirely selfless; all they cared about was winning for Michigan. That’s why I feel so proud right now to be able to call myself a fan of this incredible school and basketball program.

How can you not feel happy for the team? Facing adversity early in the season, they banded together and were determined to prove outsiders of the locker room wrong. They accomplished so much; they won Michigan’s first outright Big Ten title in nearly three decades, played in the Big 10 tournament championship game, and reached its second consecutive elite 8. Quite the list of accomplishments for a team many predicted wouldn’t make the NCAA tournament in late December.

I’m so disappointed by the way the season ended, but so proud of the program Michigan Basketball has become. Sure, I wanted to go to Dallas next week, as I was ready to purchase my airline tickets directly after the game. But like in life, sometimes we can learn what things are truly important even through loss. This team stuck together, defied the odds, and had a fantastic season that most schools dream about. How am I supposed to stay upset? Every player should hold his head high, as they won and lost the right way; with class and dignity, representing the University of Michigan well every step along the way. John Beilein has cemented himself as a premier coach in college basketball, and we’ll be back on this stage again, I have no doubt. And next time, we’ll come through, and win the right way.

It’s been so fun covering this season and writing, so I just want to thank everyone who has reached out to me. I truly hope you enjoyed reading my thoughts on Michigan basketball just as much as I had writing them.

As always, Go Blue!

Video of The Day 3/31/14

Happy Opening Day everyone! Arguably the best holiday of the year. Probably my favorite Opening Day memory. DY getting on track for his 486 home run season (unfortunately it didn't pan out like that). Love watching the classic Dimitri Young coast around the bases, chain flopping around, right arm across his chest, only to finish it off by pointing at his boys in section 121 (see 1:16). Go Tigers!

Road to Dallas - Elite 8

Lucas Oil Stadium - Indianapolis, IN

In less than 6 hours, Michigan will play John Calipari and his Kentucky Wildcats for a spot in the Final Four. To think that just 3 months ago that Michigan was 6-4, about to lose Mitch McGary for the year, and being an afterthought to the national media makes this so much sweeter. I can't begin to fully comprehend the job that John Beilein and his staff have done with such a young team, one that lost two NBA first round picks and a preseason All-American to injury.

After making the trip to Atlanta last April for Michigan's first Final Four in two decades, I wasn't sure this experience could ever be topped. On Friday morning, I made the drive to Indianapolis with my Dad to view both Midwest Regional semifinal games, Michigan - Tennessee and Kentucky - Louisville. While the overall experience has yet to even come close to topping Atlanta, it has been incredible nonetheless. After a game in which Michigan dominated for 37 minutes and decided to let Tennessee come back and steal a victory, I was able to witness a rivalry game that truly gave me goosebumps. The passion that Kentucky and Louisville fans have for their schools is ridiculous, for lack of a better word. The noise level at points in the game made me feel like I was watching a football game (we were in a football stadium, after all). These games only further made the case that college basketball is the best sport out there. The passion shown by both players and fans alike is unparalleled in any other sport (see Adam Morrison bawling like a baby on the floor BEFORE Gonzaga had even lost in the Sweet 16 to UCLA in 2006).

Michigan may not win tomorrow. Kentucky has perhaps the most talent compiled on any team in all of college basketball. They start five freshman that were all 5-star recruits in the 2013 recruiting rankings. They have size (Johnson and Randle both are taller than 6'9") and skill, as the Harrison twins and James Young can all hit shots from the perimeter. All of their guards hover around 6'6", meaning they are one of the few teams that can match Michigan's length on the wings. Despite this overwhelming level of talent the Wildcats have, you get the feeling that John Beilein and Michigan relish the underdog role. Despite being in the Elite 8, they continue to receive no attention from the national media, and both the team and fan base are completely fine with that. Let the pundits doubt John Beilein, he may have something special in store today.

Go Blue!

NCAA Sweet 16 Predictions

I know everyone is shocked that I am no longer in contention for the billion dollar bracket. I am just as shocked as you are. Probably even more shocking is that I have neither of my championship game picks left and basically zero shot of winning any money whatsoever. To put the icing on the cake, I made one of the worst "locks of the day" in history with Cincinnati giving 3. I may or may not have been on record saying they would "dominate Harvard by 20".

@ADBanch24 Awesome pick bro.
— Adam Banchiu (@ADBanch24) March 20, 2014

Can't get much worse than the first weekend so I have full confidence that the second weekend predictions will be perfect. There is no other way to look at it. Regardless if that previous statement is true, I can't come out of this weekend looking worse than Roddy White. Don't expect me to put season tickets on the line (or anything for that matter) with these predictions.

CBS will show Archie Miller's wife at least 10 times vs. Stanford. 

Enter Morgan Miller. The trophy wife for Archie Miller had been hidden from the majority of the college hoops world until the waning moments of Dayton's victory over Syracuse.

Ok so she's no Amanda Enfield, but she is definitely this year's March darling.  We can only hope that Verne Lynquist and Bill Raftery go all Brent Musburger Friday. We've seen Raftery obsess over Aaron Craft, with one of my all time favorites, "Look at the pipes on that kid!". I can only imagine the reaction for Morgan. I picture it something along the lines of "Check the chiclets on her!" or "Archie Miller with a little ricochet romance and finish with a kiss! The prediction of 10 is probably actually on the safe side. CBS will be sure to show her during any and every suspenseful moment. The last 5 minutes alone might include more camera time for Morgan than actual game action itself.

The "Harri" will combine for 45 points 

No, I am not missing a letter or word in the title. Clearly, "Harri" is referring to the Gary Harris for Michigan State and Joe Harris for Virginia. It's not rocket science, people, it's like how stimulus becomes stimuli, or alumni, or fungi, or...you get the picture. Then again, thinking about it might be as complicate as rocket science. Seriously, who thought it was not only appropriate, but more functional to have these words end in "i"? Ok, we are getting dangerously off topic, let's get back to the "Harri". Joe Harris, in my opinion, is the best scorer in the ACC. He has tremendous size over Gary who you have to believe will be matched up with him. Gary has played well thus far in the tournament, but hasn't had a break out scoring game. It's simple math, Payne had a career high in game 1 (41), Dawson had a career high in game 2 (24), next in line would have to be Gary or Valentine and i'm putting my money ( figuratively, guys) on Harris. 

P.S. A career high for Gary would be 27+ so that leaves Joe with at the most 18 points. So relax, we still come out ahead in the scenario. 

The B1G will have 3 Teams in the Final Four

Definitely my most substantial prediction of this blog post. I honestly believe that Wisconsin, Michigan, and Michigan State are each the best teams left in their respective brackets. If we look at it in terms of who has best chances, Michigan has to top the list. Sure, Tennesee is the "hot" team right now, but it's not even close how much better Michigan is than the Volunteers. Moving forward to the Elite Eight matchup, both Louisville and Kentucky will be exhausted from a hard fought rivalry game. I think Kentucky poses a bigger problem for Michigan. Louisville doesn't have enough scoring options and doesn't have anyone to exploit Michigan's lack of depth in the post. Kentucky's athleticism and talent on floor obviously scares people, especially if the are clicking. That being said, I think this Michigan team is a well oiled machine and will have enough to over come a monstrous game from Julius Randle.

You will get Afternoon Delight stuck in your head by the end of the weekend. 

It's inevitable. Taco Bell's new commercial features Starland Vocal Band's Afternoon Delight in what could possibly be the catchiest earworm since Chilli's "Baby Back Ribs" jingle (I realize that's not the actual commercial, but come on that's way better). Let's say you get lucky and miss it the first time. I can guarantee someone you are watching the games with didn't and will either start humming or singing the tune. Before you know it you are subconsciously doing the same. This is ultimately worse than getting it directly from the commercial, because you will be in the middle of doing it and will have to stop and ask you're viewing companion, "Were you just singing that or am I just going crazy?". They will confirm that they were indeed responsible and then, before you know it, everyone jumps in and it becomes a full on Anchorman rendition.

Billion Dollar Bracket

Before all you Spartan homers get on me for picking them to lose, understand these two words: damage control. That's right, damage control. Obviously, if it comes to the point where the Spartans are playing the Cavaliers in the Sweet 16, I'm rooting against my bracket. That being said, if the Spartans do fall short I, at the very least, still have my bracket. That is if I'm still breathing after drowning myself in whiskey and screaming expletives every 3 and half minutes.

P.S. I had to wait until the games officially started before posting this. I didn't want to have to share my hard earned billion with all you copy cats.

Tournament Preview - #2 Michigan Wolverines vs. #15 Wofford Terriers

                                            Wofford Guard Spencer Collins

In perhaps one of the most wide-open NCAA tournaments in recent memory, any of the top teams entering the tournament can make a run to cut down the nets in Dallas. Over the next few days, and hopefully weeks, I'll preview each matchup of Michigan's NCAA tournament run. Today, we take a look at the #15 seed, the Wofford Terriers.

The Basics

Wofford enters the NCAA tournament after winning the Southern Conference tournament. With an overall record of 20-12 (11-5 in conference), Wofford comes into the tourney playing strong basketball. Coupled with a nine-game win streak during conference play, they advanced through their conference tournament with blowouts until the championship game, where they won a grind-it-out matchup with Western Carolina.

The Players

Wofford is led by their strong scoring backcourt of junior Karl Cochran (15.7 PPG) and sophomore Spencer Collins (12.8 PPG). The offense runs entirely through these two, as they lead the team in scoring, shot attempts, and possession usage. The Terriers are not a particularly large team, as their starters range from 6'1" to 6'8", which is a large positive for Michigan, who is still absent of a large post presence due to Mitch McGary's injury.

The Metrics

Kenpom.com, my favorite basketball statistic website, focuses on teams and their efficiency ratings. After determining a team's offensive and defensive efficiency, rankings are compiled that include every Division 1 team. Wofford comes in to the NCAA tournament ranking 235th offensively and 127th defensively. They score, on average 67.7 points per game and give up 62.4 points per game, which surprisingly ranks 23rd in the nation, much better than their overall defensive efficiency rating. The disparity in these rankings is due to their propensity to play at a slower pace. They don't give up many points per game, but they give up a large number of points per possession, leading to a poor overall rating.

The Matchup

According to different scouting reports I've read, Wofford runs both man-to-man defensive sets, as well as mixing in a 2-3 zone rather often. Michigan usually sees more man-to-man, and should have no trouble running their motion sets against a small defensive lineup. They should also be able to adjust to a 2-3 easily, as the national semifinal against Syracuse (in last year's Final Four) comes to mind. Michigan has perhaps the best trio of wing players in the nation, that can shoot over the top of the zone with their length (Nik Stauskas, Caris LeVert, and Glenn Robinson III all measure taller than 6'6") and also drive the hoop with great efficiency. Michigan should have no trouble scoring offensively against an average defense, as Michigan ranks 3rd in the nation in offensive efficiency according to Kenpom.com. Defensively, Michigan should be okay on the defensive glass with Wofford's lack of a true big man. Expect the usual man to man defense from the Wolverines, with Beilein's patented 1-3-1 zone forcing an occasional turnover.

The Result

Michigan should not have trouble in this matchup with an average mid-major team, likely just ecstatic they are in the tournament. Expect big performances from Michigan's wings in a blowout.

As always, Go Blue!

The Kate Upton Effect

        For those of you that don't keep up to date with your E! News, it has been made apparent that Justin Verlander and Kate Upton are going steady once again. I'm not one to obsess over celebrity relationships, but when it comes to our ace pitcher, who we are paying $202 million for the next seven years, it becomes something I can obsess over. I know, me obsessing over sports is shocking.

JV and Kate shown getting cozy at a Super Bowl pre party (h/t Getty Images)

        If you are here to read all the juicy details on their re-kindled love, you have arrived at the wrong blog. The only thing we are concerned with is JV's performance on the hill. We are going to analyze how dating the Michigan born supermodel effect JV's pitching the first time around.

        The rumors that of these two dating first began in July of 2012 and their relationship continued until the offseason when the wheels fell off. Let's take a look at Verlander's starts in that time period.

       It's not hard to tell that Verlander was still in the "I'm trying to impress the most prodigious supermodel in the world" phase in his first three starts as he was flat out dominant. He then moved into the "Oh wait, she's only 20 and I'm just as famous" stage, became complacent and went 1-2 with a underwhelming 3.92 ERA. The third phase was clearly "We are trying to win the division, stop worrying about who are dating" and Verlander kicked it up a notch going 5-1 with 1.92 ERA down the stretch. Take the one loss away and Verlander's ERA was .75.
       Hard to argue with a 9-3 record, a 2.59 ERA while striking out 118 batters. Although, that might just be JV doing what he always does. To really breakdown the effect Upton had on him, we need to look at what he did in years past in those months, along with last years numbers.  In 2011, Verlander went 13-2, with a 2.50 ERA and 130 strikeouts. 2013, he was 5-7 with a 2.92 ERA and 103 K's. The Post Upton numbers don't take a drastic dip by any means but there is definitely a noticeable difference. The 5-7 record sticks out the most and really does smell like P.U. Can't stand the thought of the Tigers going 5-7 in 12 decisions from their self-proclaimed ace. Verlander had five no decisions in those months as well that were all losses for the Tigers. That means they were 5-12 with Verlander on the hill from July-September last year, including losing 9 of his last 10 starts. Clearly, some competitive edge was missing from Verlander's starts. He didn't seem to have the same edge on the mound. Could this have been attributed to Verlander spending late nights trying to improve his dating game? We may never know, but the numbers sure do indicate this as a viable option.

        We have looked at the regular season effects, but Tiger's fans have reached a point where it's "World Series or Bust". I don't think you will find a single fan that cares more about a fourth straight AL Central title than a deep postseason run. With that being said, Verlander's postseason numbers while dating Upton are the most important numbers to analyze.



2012 Postseason Numbers:

It looks like this relationship is going to be completely fine until we reach the World Series, which we can all agree is the main goal for the 2014 Detroit Tigers. So, Justin, when we reach the end of October take Kate out to a nice dinner at Forest Grill (Justin's favorite date spot according to my inside sources, in case all you JV groupies were wondering), enjoy the night, pick up the tab (let's be honest you can afford it), and then let her down easy. I'll even give you a script, "Listen, babe, it's been real, but I need to win a World Series. More importantly, this city needs a World Series. You understand, right?" I can't imagine any scenario where that would go over poorly. She was born in Michigan, she will understand the urgency. 

P.S. Stick to pitching JV...

Big Ten Award Picks

                                              BleacherReport.com

After a thrilling Nebraska victory over Wisconsin last night to close out the Big Ten regular season, let's take a look at the Big Ten's best as I hand out my hardware for the leagues' brightest stars.

Big Ten Player of the Year: Nik Stauskas, Sophomore SG/SF, University of Michigan

In a choice that should be unanimous when the media and coaches make their choices, Nik Stauskas was the best player on a team that just manhandled, for lack of a better term, one of the deepest conferences in the country. Despite being a wing player, he used a large share of Michigan's possessions and was extremely efficient as both a scorer and a distributor. He averaged over 17 points and 3 assists per game, as well as shooting 46% from three for the year. It is believed he will forego his final two years in a Michigan uniform to pursue his lifelong goal of playing in the NBA.

Big Ten Freshman of the Year: Noah Vonleh, C, Indiana University

A certain lottery pick in the upcoming NBA draft, Vonleh was stellar in his first and likely last season in a Hoosier uniform. Averaging close to a double-double each game (11 points, 9 rebounds), Vonleh used his large frame to bully opponents inside the paint. Surprisingly, he hit over 50% of his three point attempts (16/31). Expect a long, successful NBA career for this skilled big man if he can stay healthy.

Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year: Aaron Craft, PG, Ohio State University

Universally hated by opposing fans, but also respected by many experts. Craft is not an offensive point guard by any stretch of the imagination, but in terms of defensive ability and hustle, he is a one-of-a-kind player. He has the rare ability to make the other team's best offensive player invisible. He averages an astounding 2.6 steals per game, and this year broke the Ohio State record for most steals in a career. He is the key to the engine for the Buckeyes, and will need to play above his normal production to spur a deep postseason run for the Buckeyes.

Coach of the Year: John Beilein, University of Michigan

Despite Tim Miles' success at Nebraska, what Beilein has done this year in Ann Arbor is special. After losing the 2013 consensus National POY Trey Burke, 1st round pick Tim Hardaway Jr, and preseason 1st team All-American Mitch McGary to injury, Beilein led the Wolverines to a 15-3 conference record. Michigan is the first team since the 1999 Michigan State Spartans to win the conference by more than three games.

All Big Ten First Team:

PG - Yogi Ferrell, Sophomore, Indiana University: High volume possession-user and scorer, 40% from three, 4 assists per game, single-handedly kept IU in games this year.

SG - Gary Harris, Sophomore, Michigan State University: Stud defensively, slumped with his shot in the latter half of the Big Ten schedule, but has a solid all-around game. Potential lottery pick.

SF - Nik Stauskas, Sophomore, University of Michigan: Recapped above, high usage scorer, good assist to turnover ratio, 46% from three, complete offensive game.

G/F - Terran Pettaway, Junior, University of Nebraska: The conference's scoring champion at 18.6 points per game, Pettaway has likely carried the Cornhuskers to their first NCAA tournament in over a decade. Another all-around scorer, ability to slash to the bucket but also shot 43% from three.

C - Adreian Payne, Senior, Michigan State University: Perhaps the most versatile scoring big man in recent memory, Payne can post up and score with his back to the basket, or can step out and shoot the 3 with great efficiency.

Opinion Piece - Michigan Basketball: 2014 Big Ten Champions

                                                    MichiganReview.com

As I watched Michigan throttle Illinois last night to win the program's first outright Big Ten Championship in nearly three decades, I couldn't help but think of the post-Fab Five era of Michigan Basketball. One of the great traditional midwest basketball powers had slipped into basketball oblivion, failing to make an NCAA tournament for over a decade (before the streak was snapped in 2009). I remember attending games throughout the 2000s to half-empty arenas, with mediocre basketball on display. Aging facilities, a lack of support from the athletic department, and poor coaching plagued the Wolverines from the late 90s until John Beilein arrived on campus in the fall of 2007. What he has accomplished is nothing short of a miracle, and he is the primary reason Michigan Basketball is "back," and will be for a long time.

In his first season at the helm, Beilein's Wolverines mustered only 10 wins, and Michigan remained in the Big Ten basement in both wins and attendance. However, the 2008-2009 season was a different story. Early victories against top 5 foes Duke and UCLA helped launch Michigan into the NCAA tournament for the first time in over a decade, and besides a minor blip in the radar the following year, Beilein and the Wolverines have made the tournament in every year since that initial NCAA appearance.

As a diehard follower of Michigan Basketball, I couldn't be a student at Michigan at a better time. After the 2012 Co-Big Ten Championship my freshman year of college followed by a Final Four appearance last spring, I was extremely optimistic about this year's team. With three starters returning, as well as many role players and highly rated recruits coming to Ann Arbor, I figured another run to a Final Four was a possibility. However, coupled with early season injuries to Nik Stauskas (ankle), Glenn Robinson III (back), and the most serious of the three, Mitch McGary (back), the team sustained a bad early loss to Charlotte, blew late leads in games to Iowa State and Arizona, and had an overall poor performance against Duke. In mid-December, it was announced that Mitch McGary would undergo back surgery and miss the rest of the season. With four early losses, and without their preseason All-American, most fans and students (including myself) wondered if this team even had the capability to make the NCAA tournament, let alone compete for a Big Ten Championship. Now, two weeks before the tournament, Michigan is in line to grab a 2/3 seed and is an outright Big Ten Champion. My, how quickly things can change.

Nik Stauskas, labeled as "not just a shooter" for his the entirety of his freshman season, has emerged as the Wolverines' star, playmaker, and unquestioned leader. As he goes, the team goes. He is the odds-on favorite to win the program's second consecutive Big Ten Player of the Year (POY), and could leave early to the NBA as a first-round pick. Along with him, Michigan has received huge contributions from the likes of Caris LeVert, Jordan Morgan, and Glenn Robinson III, as well as a couple of freshmen, including sharpshooter  Zak Irvin and point guard Derrick Walton III. This team, when playing to its full potential, can beat anyone in the nation. Ranked in the top 5 in the nation in offensive efficiency by KenPom.com (3rd, to be exact) for the second consecutive season, the Wolverines will be a dangerous matchup for anyone come tournament time.

John Beilein has awakened a sleeping giant in Michigan Basketball, and while he has recruited elite level talent to join his program, he and his assistants have done a superb job developing that talent. He should win the National coach of the year award (he won't, however), by winning a Big Ten title despite losing Trey Burke and Tim Hardaway Jr. to the NBA, and Mitch McGary to injury. His program shows no signs of slowing down in the immediate future, and would you really bet against him? He remains grounded and maintains a foundation of hard work that will lead his program to new heights. I can't wait to see what the future has in store for Michigan Basketball.

Go Blue.